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MONEY MANAGEMENT


Stops For Safety

01/26/01 11:45:59 AM PST
by Han Kim

Protect your investment capital with this simple safeguard.

Living through a bear market is no fun, as any survivor of one can tell you. Even during good times, financial markets are fraught with challenges and obstacles. When confronted by investment hurdles such as the currently plummeting Nasdaq, you will have to make a few choices. Unfortunately, not all of your decisions will turn out to be profitable.

Despite ill-fated investment moves and wild market fluctuations, you can stay in the game if you actively manage your money. You are not at the mercy of the markets; the amount of risk you accept is under your control. Here's a simple money management technique  you can use to assess risk and protect your capital from possible losses.

How much risk can you take?
There is an element of risk in every investment decision you make, though the degree of risk may vary. Before I invest, I quantify my risk by determining:

1 How much money I am willing to invest (investment capital), and
2 How much of my investment I am willing to lose (risk capital).
I use the following equation to determine the amount of capital I am willing to lose:
RC = IC * LT

Where:
RC = Risk capital
IC = Investment capital
LT = Loss tolerance, or the percentage of investment  capital I am willing to lose

For example, let's say that after thorough research, I decide to invest in Ibm. I cap my investment capital for this stock at $5,000, or 50 shares at $100 each. However, before placing an order with my broker, I have to determine my risk capital. Based on my own situation, I decide that my loss tolerance level is 15% of my investment capital in this stock. Then I apply the above formula to determine my risk capital:
RC = $5,000 * 0.15
      = $750
If I own 50 shares, this means the stock price can go as low as $85 [($5000-$750)/50] before I cut my losses.

This price actually works out well. Coincidentally, the stock price chart of IBM in Figure 1 shows that in the last couple of months, the price did not fall below the $87 level. In technical analysis, this is known as a support level -- a critical point. Buyers and sellers struggle to keep prices above this level because a drop below it would mean that prices could go much lower.

FIGURE 1: INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES (IBM). A strong support level is evident at $87, which suggests that to minimize losses, I should sell my shares if prices fall below that level.


Because I identified the $87 support level on the chart, I decided to be a little more conservative in my risk tolerance. Instead of $85, I chose $87 as my threshold. If prices fell below $87, I would sell my shares in Ibm. I would place a stop order with my broker at $86.875, just below the $87 support level. A stop order is a type of order in which you instruct your broker to sell your stock when the price reaches a specific point.

CONCLUSION

By having your entry and exit strategies in place before jumping into any investment, you are protecting yourself from possible major market downslides and minimizing your risks. Not only that, but if you are unable to monitor your stocks for any reason, placing a stop order ensures that when prices do reach your risk tolerance level, your securities will be sold. With the way the market has been behaving of late, this may be one of your wisest decisions.


Source: MetaStock
(Equis International)
Data: eSignal



Han Kim

Staff Writer

Title: Webmaster
Company: Technical Analysis, Inc.
Address: 4757 California AVE SW
Seattle, WA 98116
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Website: working-money.com
E-mail address: hkim@traders.com

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