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On the radio, on TV, and in the newspapers, the price of gasoline is at the top of everyone's list of things to talk about. Crude oil prices are quoted every night on the evening news. Congress is holding hearings about what can be done about the surging prices in both crude oil prices and gasoline prices. There is no doubt that crude oil is in a bull market. What are some ways a savvy investor or trader can play this move in petroleum prices? Here are your options for profiting from the rise in oil. FUTURES CONTRACTS Crude oil on the NYMEX currently trades in every calendar month. If you look at a futures quote, you will see something like this: CLQ8. "CL" is the ticker symbol for the light sweet crude oil contract. The "Q" stands for August and the "8" stands for 2008. There is an alternative for those who are not ready or confident enough to trade the full contract. It is called the crude oil mini contract, which is traded on the NYMEX. The mini contract will control only 500 barrels of crude. The minimum tick size is two and a half cents a contract or $12.50 a contract compared to the one cent a barrel minimum tick size, which equals $10 per contract on the full contract. The mini contract has an advantage in that you are still buying and profiting from the move in light sweet crude, but mini contracts do not require you to place as much of an initial margin as the regular contract does. Still not confident enough to trade a light sweet crude oil futures contract, no matter if that contract is a mini? You can also purchase options on the crude oil futures contract. Options on futures contracts are similar to those on stocks. Your losses are limited to what you paid for the option, but your potential for profit is not capped. Keep in mind that options are wasting assets, and time is their greatest enemy. STOCKS Integrated oil companies are the total package they produce, refine and sell oil to the public. They go by names like Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), Royal Dutch Shell, which is an American depository receipt (ADR), and BP (BP). Big integrated oil companies will not directly profit from higher oil prices. So far, year-to-date performance of these big integrated oil companies has not been good. They are all down for the year. Smaller oil companies will get the bulk of their revenue from the exploration and production of oil. Hess (HES), Marathon Oil (MRO), Anadarko (APC), Occidental Petroleum (OXY), and Murphy Oil (MUR) are examples. These companies will generally profit from higher crude oil prices because they are making more money by charging more for the crude they sell. This group has seen a better year-to-date stock performance versus the big integrated oil companies. Hess is up 25% for the year. Anadarko is up 14% for the year to date. Occidental is up 11%, while Murphy Oil is up 7%. At the other end of the spectrum are the refiners, which are being hurt by an increase in the price of oil. Refiners will not profit from the price of oil going up. This group has seen better days. Valero (VLO) is down 34% for the year, while Sunoco (SUN) is down 46%. Tesoro Corp. (TSO) is down 55% for the year, and Frontier Oil (FTO) is down 33%. Refiners have been beat up all year and will probably continue to suffer as the price of crude continues to soar. Oil services are companies that keep those oil drilling platforms working and running properly. They have seen a rise in their stock prices since the price of crude has been going up. Schlumberger (SLB) is up 3% for the year, while Halliburton (HAL) is up 33%. Baker Hughes (BHI) is up 8% for the year. EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS There are a few choices when it comes to trading oil with an ETF. OIL is the ticker symbol for the iPath S&P GSCI Crude Oil Total Return. It is linked to the Goldman Sachs Crude Oil Return Index. The United States Oil Fund (USO) is a commodity pool that purchases futures contracts on the NYMEX and ICE exchanges. The Powershares DB Oil Fund (DBO) tracks the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index trading light sweet crude contracts. United States 12 Month Oil Fund LP (USL) tracks the price of light sweet crude oil delivered to Cushing, OK. There are many choices available to the investor and trader who want to profit from the move in oil. The most direct way is the buying and selling of light sweet crude oil contracts. This solution will not work for everyone and with the risk involved with futures trading, you should make sure you are prepared to enter this volatile market. For those of you who want to buy and sell stocks, you can buy individual companies whose profits are derived from the business of selling oil. Or you could choose to purchase an ETF. Whatever you choose, there are many ways to trade oil. |
E-mail address: | drmorgus@gmail.com |